2011: The Year a House Again Becomes a Home

by THE KCM CREW on DECEMBER 29, 2010

For almost a decade now, every time we talked about real estate we immediately discussed money. We didn’t talk about the value of a home but instead about the price of the house. We didn’t worry about a roof over our heads but instead the ceiling on our interest rate. We didn’t care as much about where we raised our family as we cared about how much we increased our family’s net worth.

That will change in 2011. The KCM Crew believes very strongly that real estate will return to what it has been for the 200+ year history of this country: a place for us and our families to live comfortably. It will also prove to be a great long term investment as it always has been.

Our parents and our grandparents didn’t buy their homes as a short term financial investment. They bought it so they had a place of their own to come home to at the end of the day; a place to raise their family; a place they could feel safe.

Sure they dreamed of a ‘mortgage-burning’ party. They realized it was a form of forced savings. They were taught that, if they paid their mortgage every month, they would wind up with a little retirement account decades later.

And, they realized that wouldn’t happen if they rented.

However, in the last decade, we somehow forgot that the financial aspect was the serendipity not the major reason to buy. We believe that 2011 will be the year that people return to the historic reasons families purchased a home. This is the year when we again remember that homeownership is a major part of the American Dream.

What about the challenges to a housing recovery? Let’s look at them.

The Economy

Most reports are showing that the economy is doing better than expected. This shopping season provided additional proof of this point. As the economy recovers, so will consumer confidence. This will be great news for housing.

Unemployment

There is much talk about a ‘jobless recovery’. We agree that unemployment will continue to be a challenge. However, when you talk about housing, it is not the unemployment rate that is all telling. Instead, it is the change in the rate. As unemployment skyrocketed, people started to worry about their own job. Any change creates concern. Unabated concern turns to fear. Fear causes paralysis. The spike in unemployment has plateaued. People no longer have the felling that ‘they are next’. The fear will diminish and people will start moving on with their lives. This too will be great news for housing.

Interest Rates

It seems the bottomless pit in which rates have been falling does have a floor after all. And it seems we have found it. Those purchasers who had been waiting for the best interest rate may have already missed it.

Prices

Economists are projecting that prices will not see any appreciation in 2011. Sellers who had been waiting for 2006 to return will come to the realization that waiting any longer makes little sense. They will instead decide to get on with their lives and sell this year.

Prices probably will soften further. However, the possible savings to potential buyers will be minimized by a rise in interest rates.

Bottom Line

This is the year that normalcy returns to real estate. People will buy and sell based on the desire for a better life for themselves and their families. They will realize that is the true value of homeownership and they will be willing to pay for that value.

Tax Deal Has Home Owner Benefits

Home owners were among those who benefited from the tax compromise that President Obama signed last week. Among the most home owner-friendly provisions are:

Deductions for private mortgage insurance: The agreement extends through 2011 a provision allowing home owners to deduct mortgage insurance premiums. To qualify for the full deduction, homeowners must have an adjusted gross income of $100,000 or less. Taxpayers with AGI of $100,000 to $109,000 can claim a partial deduction. Borrowers can’t deduct mortgage premiums on home loans that closed before 2007.

Tax credits for energy-efficient home improvements. Home owners who install insulation, new windows or other energy-saving improvement in 2010 are eligible for a tax credit worth 30 percent of the cost up to a lifetime maximum of $1,500. Improvements must be bought and installed by Dec. 31. Those who delay improvements to 2011 still get a tax credit, but it is capped at $500.

Source: USA Today, Sandra Block (12/21/2010)

Four Steps to Sustainable Homeownership

Purchasing a home is an exciting step in anyone’s life, but there is more to the process than just getting approved for a loan. In fact, it is even more important to make certain you are ready to keep your home for the long term. To that end, here is a look at 4 things you can do to make your homeownership sustainable.

Step #1: Increase Your Knowledge

The first step you need to take is to learn as much about your mortgage loan options as possible. This way, you can be certain to apply for the best type of loan to meet your personal needs. In addition to learning about the pros and cons of various loan options, you need to learn more about how credit scores, discount points and other factors affect the overall cost of a loan. As part of this process, you should contact your local HUD housing counselors to learn more about special buyer programs that might be available in your area.

Step #2: Get Your Finances Under Control

Before you can purchase a home, you need to be certain you will qualify to buy it. If your credit score is below 620, you will be better off taking some time to bring up your score before you make a purchase. This way, you can keep your interest rates down, which will help keep your mortgage payments down and will make it easier for you to keep up with your monthly payments. Of course, by getting your finances under control before you buy, you will also be more likely to be able to stay on top of your bills after you make a purchase.

Step #3: Create a Budget

In order to remain safely within your means, your mortgage payments should never be more than 28 to 33 percent of your total monthly gross income. If you have other debts, such as car payments, student loans, credit cards or child support payments, the total cost of these debts and your mortgage payment should not exceed 36 to 40 percent of your monthly gross income. Therefore, before you make a purchase, carefully analyze your debts and create a budget that will ensure your monthly payments remain below this figure while also leaving enough money available to put toward a savings plan.

Step #4: Get to Saving

Before you start looking for a home, you should have plenty of money saved up to apply toward the purchase of your home. In most cases, Earnest money, which is a deposit provided to the seller, will be required when making an offer. Earnest money requirements can range anywhere from $500 to two percent of the purchase price. In addition, depending upon the type of loan you get, you might need to make a substantial down payment or closing costs. In addition, by establishing good saving habits now, you will be better prepared to handle your finances effectively in the future.

Growing Economy Big Factor for Buyers

Economists are surprisingly positive about the impact of rising interest rates on home sales.

The consensus is that while rates are up from where they were, they are still at historically low levels and rock bottom rates are only a part of what encourages people to buy homes. More important factors could be jobs and other financial issues, which appear to be improving.

“Since the recent rate increases have essentially just undone the declines from earlier months, it is hard to see why sales should drop significantly further from current levels,” wrote Goldman Sachs economist Ed McKelvey in a research note published Thursday evening.

Source: The Wall Street Journal, Nick Timiraos (12/17/2010)

Home Building Edged Up in November

Housing starts increased 3.9 percent last month from October, the U.S. Department of Commerce reports.

Despite the gain, activity remains 45 percent below the threshold — 1 million units annually — that is considered healthy. And permits, which gauge future demand, slid 4 percent to the lowest level since April 2009.

In November, builders broke ground on 555,000 units, fueled by a 6.9 percent jump in construction of single-family homes; multifamily projects, conversely, declined 9.1 percent.

Source: Boston Globe (12/17/10)

Rising Rates Could Get Buyers Moving

Ironically, it could be rising interest rates that finally push home buyers off the fence and into the market.

While Congress is debating the tax-cut compromise, the financial markets have interpreted the proposal as a development that will likely push mortgage interest rates higher than they have been for months.

Analysts are predicting that buyers will move quickly when it looks like rates are going up and are unlikely to come down. "Once people see this might actually be the bottom, they’ll go for it," says Paul Dales of Capital Economics.

The average rate for a 30-year fixed loan increased to 4.61 percent in the week ended Thursday, Dec. 9, from 4.46 percent the previous week. The average 15-year rate rose to 3.96 percent from 3.81 percent.

Source: Fortune, Nin-Hai Tseng (12/10/2010)

Advocacy Group Urges FHA Reform

The Center for Responsible Lending on Thursday called on the Federal Housing Administration to take further action to protect consumers from what it characterized as “Wild West lending.”

"The FHA was created to make mortgages accessible, affordable, and sustainable. Without clear rules to prevent overcharging, abuses are inevitable. That undercuts the reason the program was created in the first place," said Evan Fuguet, senior policy counsel for the center, in a statement.

The CRL recommended that the FHA adopt the following policies:

· Immediately apply pending Federal Reserve rules that, come April, will ban kickbacks and other incentives to overcharge for mortgages.
· Establish reasonable limits on loan costs to prevent inconsistent and abusive pricing.
· Maintain a strong focus on access to fair and affordable credit for all families regardless of race.
· Continue to strengthen efforts to enforce FHA rules.

Source: Center for Responsible Lending (12/09/2010)